Global Markets:
- Asian stock markets: Nikkei down 0.85 %, Shanghai Composite lost 0.90 %, Hang Seng declined 1.10 %, ASX fell 0.10 %
- Commodities: Gold at $1360 (-0.10 %), Silver at $19.79 (-0.20 %), WTI Oil at $45.55 (+0.90 %), Brent Oil at $46.90 (+1.10 %)
- Rates: US 10 year yield at 1.35, UK 10 year yield at 0.77, German 10 year yield at -0.17
News & Data:
- Japanese Labour Cash Earnings (YoY) May: -0.2%% (est 0.5%, prev 0.3%, rev 0.0%)
- Japanese Trade Balance BoP Basis (JPY) May: 39.9bln (est 56bln, prev 697.1bln)
- Japanese Bank Lending ex-Trusts (YoY) Jun: 2.0% (est 2.2%, prev 2.2%)
- Japanese BoP Current Account Balance (JPY) May: 1.809tln (est 1.751tln, prev 1.879tln)
- UK GfK Consumer Confidence Jul: -9 (prev -1)
- ANZ: New Zealand Q2 inflation gauge up to 0.5% QoQ – BBG
- PBOC Fixes Yuan Reference Rate At 6.6853 (prev 6.6820)
- Asian stocks set for weekly drop as investors seek safety; gold shines – RTRS
- Oil rebounds from two-month lows, outlook seen volatile – RTRS
Markets Update:
USD/JPY fell to new lows overnight, along with Asian stock markets. The pair opened around 100.90 in Sydney, but came under renewed pressure after the Tokyo open and eventually reached a low of 100.25. There is an increased risk of BoJ intervention should USD/JPY fall back below 100. Meanwhile, GBP/USD had a third bounce off the 1.2875 level and rallied to 1.2960 in Asia. Resistance is seen at 1.2980 and 1.3050. EUR/USD flows were light again and the pair consolidated in a 1.1060-85 range.
The Australian Dollar held well this week, despite the risk-off sentiment and the uncertainties around the Australian election. Overnight, it traded within a 0.7475-0.7515 range. NZD/USD started the new trading around 0.7210 and rallied to 0.7275 later in the session, only 30 pips shy from the current 2016 high.
Upcoming Events:
- 06:45 BST – Swiss Unemployment Rate
- 07:00 BST – German Trade Balance
- 09:30 BST – UK Trade Balance
- 13:30 BST – US NFP
- 13:30 BST – US Unemployment Rate
- 13:30 BST – Canadian Employment Change
- 13:30 BST – Canadian Unemployment Rate
- 20:30 BST – CFTC Positioning Data
