Wednesday 22nd June: European Open Briefing

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Global Markets:

  • Asian stock markets: Nikkei down 0.55 %, Shanghai Composite gained 0.45 %, Hang Seng rose 0.40 %, ASX 200 rallied 0.30 %
  • Commodities: Gold at $1271 (-0.10 %), Silver at $17.27 (-0.30 %), WTI Oil at $50.15 (+0.60 %), Brent Oil at $50.90 (+0.50 %)
  • Rates: US 10 year yield at 1.69, UK 10 year yield at 1.30, German 10 year yield at 0.06

News & Data:

  • Australia Westpac Leading Index (MoM) May: 0.21% (rev prev. 0.14% from 0.24%)
  • Australia Skilled Vacancies (MoM) May: 1.0% (prev. 0.60%)
  • New Zealand Credit Card Spending (MoM) May: 0.0% (prev 2.5%)
  • PBOC sets USD/CNY fix at 6.5935 (prev fix 6.5656, prev close 6.5900)
  • BoJ's Kuroda: Deflationary mind-set deeply rooted in Japan, FX and stock markets sometimes don't move too much
  • BoJ's Kuroda: Wage will rise if prices rise; Results of fiscal and monetary policy don't always turn out as expected
  • Asia stocks inch up, nerves fray ahead of Brexit vote – RTRS
  • Oil prices above $50, buoyed by U.S. stock draw – RTRS
  • Fed warns U.S. equity valuations 'well above' median – RTRS

Markets Update:

The US Dollar fell overnight as risk appetite improved and GBP volatility remains high one day ahead of the Brexit vote. GBP/USD was rejected off 1.4780 resistance yesterday and fell to a low of 1.4620 in the late NY session. In Asia, the pair recovered, rising to a high of 1.4690.

EUR/USD saw a sharp decline to 1.1245 yesterday, but bounced in Asia and rose to a high of 1.1270. The Euro will be very sensitive to the Brexit vote outcome as well, so expect high volatility in all EUR pairs.

Meanwhile, USD/JPY benefited from the rise in equity markets yesterday, but broad USD selling put it under slight pressure overnight. The pair fell from 104.90 in the early Asian session to a low of 104.40. Support is now seen at 104.20, followed by 103.55.

The commodity currencies are all bid, with the Australian and New Zealand Dollar up 0.30 % against the USD. NZD/USD posted a fresh one year high yesterday, but ran out of momentum at 0.7170.

Upcoming Events:

  • 10:00 BST – Swiss ZEW Expectations
  • 13:30 BST – Canadian Retail Sales
  • 14:00 BST – US House Price Index
  • 15:00 BST – US Existing Home Sales
  • 15:00 BST – Fed Chair Yellen testifies
  • 15:30 BST – US Crude Oil Inventories

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