Wednesday 3rd August: European Open Briefing

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Global Markets:

  • Asian stock markets: Nikkei down 1.90 %, Shanghai Composite gained 0.25 %, Hang Seng lost 1.80 %, ASX 200 declined 1.30 %
  • Commodities: Gold at $1371 (-0.05 %), Silver at $20.71 (+0.05 %), WTI Oil at $39.69 (+0.50 %), Brent Oil at $41.95 (+0.33 %)
  • Rates: US 10 year yield at 1.55, UK 10 year yield at 0.80, German 10 year yield at -0.03

News & Data:

  • China Caixin Services PMI (Jul): 51.7 (prev 52.7)
  • China Caixin Composite PMI (Jul): 51.9 (prev 50.3)
  • Australia AiG PSI (Jul): 53.9 (prev 51.3)
  • Japan Nikkei Services PMI (Jul): 50.4 (prev 49.4)
  • Japan Nikkei Composite PMI (Jul): 50.1 (prev 49.0)
  • New Zealand Average Hourly Earnings (QoQ) Q2: 0.8% (exp 0.9% prev 0.3%)
  • New Zealand ANZ Commodity Price Index (MoM) Jul: 2.0% (prev 3.7%)
  • UK BRC Shop Price Index (YoY) Jul: -1.6% (prev -2.0%)
  • PBoC Fixes Yuan Reference Rate at 6.6195 (prev 6.6451)
  • Fed's Lockhart: Underlying Information On U.S. Economic Growth More Encouraging Than Headline GDP Number — CNBC
  • Lockhart: He Doesn't Rule Out Rate Hike at Next Fed Meeting or Later
  • RTRS/IPSOS Poll Puts Clinton's Lead Over Trump at 8% (prev 6%)

Markets Update:

USD/JPY came under renewed pressure as Asian stock markets declined. The pair traded around 101.30 at the Tokyo open and declined to a low of 100.75 later in the session. Support is seen at 100.70, but a break below would likely lead to a retest of the 100 level.

EUR/USD fell slightly in the Asian session, but remains bid overall and bounced off 1.1210. Short-term techs look bullish and further gains seem likely, with little resistance now until 1.14. GBP/USD declined as well overnight, from 1.3360 in the early session to 1.3315.

The NZ Dollar fell after weak New Zealand employment data. NZD/USD fell from 0.7245 to 0.7195, while AUD/NZD rallied 1.05 to 1.0560.

Upcoming Events:

  • 08:45 BST – Italian Services PMI
  • 08:50 BST – French Services PMI
  • 08:55 BST – German Services PMI
  • 09:00 BST – Euro Zone Services PMI
  • 09:30 BST – UK Services PMI
  • 13:15 BST – US ADP Nonfarm Employment Change
  • 15:00 BST – US ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI
  • 15:30 BST – US Crude Oil Inventories

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